DOUBLING PATTERNS FOR FAMILY BUSINESSES TO CAPITALIZE UPON – MASSIVE DISRUPTION IS COMING --- ARE YOU READY ???
If you are an entrepreneur, you need to be thinking about these. Specifically, how are you going to capitalize on them when they happen? How will they affect your business? We are here to help you position into these next Billion and Trillion Dollar Businesses.
By 2019, new countries will emerge. Each new country shall give tremendous economic and business opportunities. Which shall be those countries ?
By 2020, tallest building on the planet with height of 1 Km will get completed. Same year the first space ship based hotel shall be ready. Real estate business shall be no more terrestrial. Who are the companies positioning in these billion dollar businesses. We shall see the first trillion dollar corporate this very year.
By the 2020s, most diseases will go away as nanobots become smarter than current medical technology. Normal human eating will be replaced by nanosystems. The Turing test begins to be passable. Self-driving cars begin to take over the roads, and people won’t be allowed to drive on highways. Which doubling patterns in this space shall be most rewarding for entrepreneurs ?
In 2024 Space X is sending first ship to mars and in couple of years first settlers will arrive on mars. The new economy on Mars planet will start giving rise to new businesses. Those of us who missed the bus on earth shall have a second chance on a different planet. Maybe it was destined that Lady Luck ( Mars ) was to write their destiny there. How to be the first Billionaires on mars ?
In 2025 we shall be a 8 bn planet. The doubling patterns suggest we shall see the first Trillion Dollar StartUp in a period less than 18 months in 2025. Which business shall that be and how can you position yourself there ?
In 2025, in accordance with Moore’s Law Doubling Patterns , we will see an acceleration in the rate of change as we move closer to a world of true abundance. Many disruptions shall happen in 2025.
A $1,000 Human Brain: In 2025, $1000 should buy you a computer able to calculate at 10^16 cycles per second (10,000 trillion cycles per second), the equivalent processing speed of the human brain.
A Trillion-Sensor Economy: The Internet of Everything describes the networked connections between devices, people, processes and data. By 2025, the IoE will exceed 100 billion connected devices, each with a dozen or more sensors collecting data. This will lead to a trillion-sensor economy driving a data revolution beyond our imagination. Cisco’s recent report estimates the IoE will generate $19 trillion ( equal to current GDP of USA ) of newly created value. Which doubling patterns are now worth venturing into this 19 Tn opportunity.
Perfect Knowledge: We’re heading towards a world of perfect knowledge. With a trillion sensors gathering data everywhere (autonomous cars, satellite systems, drones, wearables, cameras), you’ll be able to know anything you want, anytime, anywhere, and query that data for answers and insights.
8 Billion Hyper-Connected People: Facebook (Internet.org), SpaceX, Google (Project Loon), Qualcomm & Virgin (OneWeb) are planning to provide global connectivity to every human on Earth at speeds exceeding 1 Megabit per second. We will grow from three to eight billion connected humans, adding five billion new consumers into the global economy. They represent tens of trillions of new dollars flowing into the global economy. And they are not coming online like we did 20 years ago with a 9600 modem on AOL. They’re coming online with a 1 Mbps connection and access to the world’s information on Google, cloud 3D printing, Amazon Web Services, artificial intelligence with Watson, crowdfunding, crowdsourcing, and more. Which businesses are most profitable to ride this doubling patterns ?Are you thinking about them ?
Disruption of Healthcare: Existing healthcare institutions will be crushed as new business models with better and more efficient care emerge. Thousands of startups, as well as today’s data giants (Google, Apple, Microsoft, SAP, IBM, etc.) will all enter this lucrative $3.8 trillion healthcare industry with new business models that dematerialize, demonetize and democratize today’s bureaucratic and inefficient system. Biometric sensing (wearables) and AI will make each of us the CEOs of our own health. Large-scale genomic sequencing and machine learning will allow us to understand the root cause of cancer, heart disease and neurodegenerative disease and what to do about it. Robotic surgeons can carry out an autonomous surgical procedure perfectly (every time) for pennies on the dollar. Each of us will be able to regrow a heart, liver, lung or kidney when we need it, instead of waiting for the donor to die. Death Shall Be Conquered : WE SHALL HAVE A SOLUTION FOR DEATH. How would Family Business look like in a world where al generations live forever ? What family governance would it need ? How shall family wealth be distributed in a world of agelessness.
Augmented & Virtual Reality: Billions of dollars invested by Facebook (Oculus), Google (Magic Leap), Microsoft (Hololens), Sony, Qualcomm, HTC and others will lead to a new generation of displays and user interfaces. These technologies had gone into the The screen as we know it – on your phone, your computer and your TV – will disappear and be replaced by eyewear. Not the geeky Google Glass, but stylish equivalents to what the well-dressed fashionistas are wearing today. The result will be a massive disruption in a number of industries ranging from consumer retail, to real estate, education, travel, entertainment, and the fundamental ways we operate as humans. These technologies are already coming up into maturity as seen in the hype cycle below. Are you ready to ride the maturity cycle ?
Early Days of JARVIS: Artificial intelligence research will make strides in the next decade. If you think Siri is useful now, the next decade’s generation of Siri will be much more like JARVIS from Iron Man, with expanded capabilities to understand and answer. Companies like IBM Watson, DeepMind and Vicarious continue to hunker down and develop next-generation AI systems. In a decade, it will be normal for you to give your AI access to listen to all of your conversations, read your emails and scan your biometric data because the upside and convenience will be so immense. Have you thought about it ?
Blockchain: If you haven’t heard of the blockchain, we highly recommend you read up on it. You might have heard of bitcoin, which is the decentralized (global), democratized, highly secure cryptocurrency based on the blockchain. But the real innovation is the blockchain itself, a protocol that allows for secure, direct (without a middleman), digital transfers of value and assets (think money, contracts, stocks, IP). Investors like Marc Andreesen have poured tens of millions into the development and believe this is as important of an opportunity as the creation of the Internet itself. How much have you invested in the most doubling blockchain use cases ?
By 2028, Venice will be inhabitable due to increased water levels. Which businesses can spring around a city evacuating ?
By 2029 we have an asteroid encounter. The asteroid shall be moving at a speed of 23859 Miles. Which technology shall allow us to throw electromagnetic waves to deflect the asteroid . This is a trillion dollar opportunity.
By the 2030s, Virtual Reality will begin to feel 100% real. We will be able to upload our mind/consciousness by the end of the decade. Are you building a business around this space ? Has its time arrived . Where is it on the doubling pattern and the hype curve ?
By 2033 the first cargo shall be sent to mars to build colonies. Any Mars plans ?
By 2036 we shall send probes to study the star system of alpha centauri our nearest star. You have the opportunity to become the next Elon Musk here . Are you ready ?
By 2040 the non-evacuation nuclear reactor shall get commissioned in France. What business opportunities that brings in the redefinition of a very safe and controlled nuclear power ?
By the 2040s, non-biological intelligence will be a billion times more capable than biological intelligence (aka us). Nanotech foglets will be able to make food out of thin air and create any object in physical world at a whim. This shall disrupt the agriculture business completely. How do family businesses involved in agriculture evolve from here ?
By 2045, we will multiple our intelligence a billionfold by linking wirelessly from our neocortex to synthetic neocortex in the cloud. What will the apps we shall use ? How are you positioned in this space ?
By 2048, the ban on mineral extraction from Antarctica shall not exist anymore. How can a mineral business around Africa be built. Who is in this space now ?
By 2050, we shall be a 10 Bn population planet. Colonization of Mars shall begin. Before that scientists shall solve many interplanetary travel problems. Construction of the first interplanetary elevator shall begin. How can you position into this futuristic business ?
By 2100 , a major natural cataclysm is seen. Melting of Himalayan glaciers, draughts, famines, floods, earthquakes. By 3000 temperatures shall rise by 15 deg C and sea levels shall rise by 36 feet. Which business can built aoung this climate change opportunity ?
By 4500 oceans shall become our farms as land on the planet shall be less to accommodate farms. How to build an ocean farm business ?
By 4500, telepathy will become the language of communication. Perceiving thoughts and transferring them to a distance will be normal. Will that disrupt the content business . How will content be consumed then ?
By 5000, we shall be cyborgs with the highest levels of Intelligence. Brains will sublime into computers leading to digital immortality. A single currency will become the world currency. Will it be a cryptocurrency or DNA based ? What are the business opportunities around it ?
By 7000-8000 moon shall drift away from the planet so much so that solar eclipses will no longer be felt. Does that spring a business opportunity ?
By 10000 – 20000 the planet will be inhabited by HumanBot who shall live in a completely clean environment. Waste shall be removed at the point of generation itself . What business will spring for solid and water waste management. Will landfills be reopened to convert them into tillable land ? Diseases and wars will disappear. Where will healthcare go. Where will the weapons industry go. Will stellar wars be fought ? Guest visits will become trips in interplanetary elevators. What would a interplanetary travel company business look like.
I want to make an important point here . It’s not about the doubling patterns . It’s about what the Doubling Patterns represent. Doubling Patterns are a byproduct of the power of Moore’s law, more specifically “Law of Accelerating Returns” and of exponential technologies. These technologies follow an exponential growth curve based on the principle that the computing power that enables them doubles every two years. As humans, we are biased to think linearly.
As entrepreneurs, we need to think exponentially. At Sekhon Family Office ( SFO ) we talk about the 6D’s of exponential thinking. Most of us can’t see the things we see because the initial growth stages of exponential, DIGITIZED technologies are DECEPTIVE. Before we know it, they are DISRUPTIVE – just look at the massive companies that have been disrupted by technological advances in AI, virtual reality, robotics, internet technology, mobile phones, OCR, translation software, and voice control technology. Each of these technologies DEMATERIALIZED, DEMONETIZED, and DEMOCRATIZED access to services and products that used to be linear and non-scalable. Now, these technologies power multibillion-dollar companies and affect billions of lives.
All of the above is without the BIGGEST REVOLUTION that man kind is at the brink of . That shall explode the DOUBLING PATTERNS a Billion Times ………………..It shall put Doubling Patterns on steroids . That is the coming of QUANTUM COMPUTING.
As per our DOUBLING PATTERNS research, Quantum Computers shall go main stream in the next 13 months. Next year, we may see the launch of the first true quantum computers. The implications will be staggering. What are quantum computers? What are their implications? Who’s working on them? There’s a lot to unpack here, so hang tight, and let’s jump in! What Is Quantum Computing?
Moore’s Law (or the exponential growth of integrated circuits) is actually referring to the fifth paradigm of computation. Here’s the list of the underlying technologies: (1) Electromechanical; (2) Vacuum Tube; (3) Relay; (4) Transistors; and (5) Integrated Circuits.
Quantum computers may well be the sixth paradigm, given that they work in a fashion that is entirely different from “classical” computers. A classical computer performs operations using classical “bits” — these “bits” can be in only one of two states: “0” or “1.” In contrast, a quantum computer uses “quantum bits,” or “qubits.” Thanks to a principle called quantum superposition, these qubits can have a value of “0”, “1,” or both “0 AND 1” at the same time. This capability allows quantum computers to solve certain types of complex problems that are intractable for conventional computers. Frankly, really exciting problems for society today, as you’ll see below.
The power of qubits is that they scale exponentially. A two-qubit machine allows you to do four calculations at once. A three-qubit machine can do eight calculations. A four-qubit machine gives you 16 calculations, all simultaneously. By the time you get to 300 qubits, you’ve got a computer that can do more “calculations” than there are atoms in the universe.
Development of a quantum computer, would mark a leap forward in computing capability far greater than that from the abacus to a modern day supercomputer, with performance gains in the billion-fold realm and beyond.
What Are the Implications of Quantum Computing? The implications of true quantum computing at scale are staggering, of extraordinary impact to society today (which is why I’m tracking it). In my opinion, here are the top five applications:
Machine Learning: Much of machine learning is about “pattern recognition.” Algorithms crunch large datasets to find signals in the noise, and the goal is to maximize the number of comparisons you make between data to find the best models to describe that data. With quantum computing, we’ll be able to do this processing orders of magnitude more effectively than with classical computing. Quantum computing will allow you to compare much, much more data in parallel, simultaneously, and all permutations of that data, to discover the best patterns that describe it. This will lead to fundamentally more powerful forms of AI much more quickly than we expect. Expect quantum computing to cause a positive inflection point (upward) for the speed at which the world develops AI (which, by the way, is why Google is working so hard on it).
Medicine: Quantum computing will also allow us to model complex molecular interactions at an atomic level. This will be particularly important for medical research and drug discovery. Soon, we’ll be able to model all 20,000+ proteins encoded in the human genome and start to simulate their interactions with models of existing drugs or new drugs that haven’t been invented yet. Based on the analysis of these drug interactions, we’ll be able to find cures for previously incurable diseases and hopefully accelerate the time to market for new drugs. Using quantum computer simulations will be the way we design and choose our next generations of drugs and cancer cures.
Chemistry (and Climate Change): Worried about the climate crisis? Wondering what we can do about it? Quantum computers may be our newest tool to understand what is going on and to fight it. They will allow us to unlock “simulation-driven” solutions, perhaps design new catalysts that actually capture carbon from the atmosphere and turn it into new and valuable products at low cost and energy use.
Material Science & Engineering: Because we can simulate atomic interactions, we’ll explore and invent entirely new, better materials. We might find better superconductors, better magnets, materials that will allow us to create much higher energy density batteries, and so on. Since 2011, the U.S. federal government has granted over $250 million to the Materials Genome Initiative in an effort to “discover, manufacture, and deploy advanced materials twice as fast, at a fraction of the cost.”
Biomimetics, Energy Systems & Photovoltaics: Scientists believe that much of the world is built atop quantum systems. Processes like photosynthesis, for example, are likely dependent on quantum mechanical systems. Thus, as we look to the natural world for inspiration to build better energy systems or stronger materials, we’ll only fully realize their potential when we can model these processes with quantum computers. This will lead to many advances and discoveries across the board.